In-depth Analysis
Almeria has turned its home ground into a formidable fortress during this crucial stage of the season. The team has won nine of its last ten matches at home and has demonstrated impressive attacking power, scoring at least two goals in six of those games.
Not only have Almeria been dominant at home, but they have also enjoyed positive results when hosting Castellon. In the last five meetings between the two sides at Almeria's stadium, the hosts have recorded four victories. Notably, they also secured a 1-0 win over Castellon in Spain's Segunda División during the 2025/26 season.
Heading into this second-leg encounter, Almeria also holds a psychological advantage. Despite playing away from home in the first leg of the semi-final, they showed great resilience to earn a 1-1 draw. A goal from Sergi Arribas midway through the second half kept Almeria firmly in contention before returning to their home ground.
Meanwhile, Castellon has struggled to maintain consistency on the road. The visitors have won only two of their last eight away matches, highlighting the difficulties they often face when playing away from home. Given their current form and home advantage, Almeria has every reason to feel confident about securing a victory and advancing to the promotion play-off final for a place in La Liga.