In-depth Analysis
In Group G, the Netherlands lead with 5 wins and 1 draw, holding a 3-point advantage over Poland and 6 points over Finland. With Finland having only one match left, Oranje are in a strong position to secure direct qualification for the 2026 World Cup.
However, everything could change after this game. If the Netherlands lose in Warsaw, Poland would move to the top thanks to the head-to-head rule, after the two sides drew 1-1 in the first leg in September.
Coach Ronald Koeman clearly knows how to avoid that mistake. The Netherlands recently thrashed Finland 4-0 in Amsterdam, recording their third consecutive win and extending their unbeaten run to 10 games across all competitions (6 wins, 4 draws).
Meanwhile, Poland easily defeated Lithuania 2-0 in Vilnius. Back on home soil, Robert Lewandowski and his teammates are confident they can extend their winning streak to six, after five consecutive wins conceding just one goal.