In-depth Analysis
Japan are showing extremely impressive form at the 2026 World Cup, maintaining consistent performance and high efficiency in their playing style. In the second group match, they comfortably defeated Tunisia 4-0, following a convincing 2-2 draw against title contenders the Netherlands in the opening round. These results clearly reflect the significant progress of the Asian side, both in terms of mentality and overall quality.
At present, Japan are level on 4 points with the Netherlands but sit second due to an inferior goal difference. This makes their final group-stage clash against Sweden especially important, as topping the group is still within reach if they secure a positive result.
In theory, a draw would already be enough for Japan to qualify for the next round. However, coach Moriyasu has shown greater ambition by insisting that the team is aiming for a convincing victory to secure first placeâfocusing not only on three points but also on goal difference and overall dominance.
That confidence is well justified when looking at Swedenâs form. Although they opened with a 5-1 win over Tunisia, the Nordic side quickly exposed their inconsistency with a heavy defeat to the Netherlands in the following match. Their performances suggest a lack of stability, especially when facing well-organized, high-intensity opponents.
Even their win against Tunisia was not entirely convincing, as they largely took advantage of a weaker opponent rather than dominating the game outright. Overall, Swedenâs form cannot match Japanâs, who are unbeaten in their last nine matches, while Sweden have only won 3 of their last 12.
Beyond form, Japan also display growing maturity and experience on the World Cup stage. Their tactical discipline, mental stability, and ability to sustain high tempo make them a very difficult side to beat at the moment. In this context, Sweden are likely to face major difficulties and could once again suffer a disappointing result against the Asian representatives.