In-depth Analysis
In the first leg of the Champions League play-off round held on February 18, Real Madrid secured an important advantage. Playing away at Benfica’s home ground in Portugal, the Spanish capital side claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over the team led by coach Jose Mourinho. The only goal of the match was scored by Vinicius Jr, giving “Los Blancos” a significant edge.
Notably, despite playing away from home, Real Madrid controlled the game and created superior pressure. Therefore, returning to the Bernabeu for the second leg provides them with even more confidence in their pursuit of qualification. It is worth emphasizing that Real Madrid’s home form has been extremely impressive: they have won their last six home matches, scoring at least two goals in each game.
In contrast to their opponent’s consistency, Benfica have shown an unconvincing face in cup competitions recently. Statistics indicate that Jose Mourinho’s side have lost four of their last five cup matches, including the 0-1 defeat to Real Madrid in the first leg.
Moreover, Benfica’s away record does not inspire much confidence. In their last six away games, the Portuguese club have managed only two victories. This record will certainly affect their confidence as they travel to the Bernabeu — a stadium where Real Madrid always perform with great composure.
Difficulties further increase for Benfica as Jose Mourinho will not be present on the touchline. Having been sent off in the first leg for protesting against the referee, “The Special One” must serve a one-match suspension. He will not be able to return to the Bernabeu — a stadium closely associated with many memorable moments from his time managing Real Madrid.
Without Mourinho, Benfica are likely to face organizational and psychological challenges. Already trailing on aggregate and having to play away from home, the task becomes even heavier for them. If Alvaro Arbeloa’s side perform at their best, they can fully capitalize on this opportunity to close out the tie and secure a place in the 2025/26 Champions League Round of 16.