In-depth Analysis
In the 2025/26 Champions League league phase, Qarabağ FK pulled off a major surprise by finishing 22nd with 10 points. The Azerbaijani side advanced to the next round, while big names such as Olympique de Marseille, PSV Eindhoven, Athletic Bilbao, SSC Napoli, AFC Ajax, Villarreal CF, and Eintracht Frankfurt were eliminated.
Even more impressively, Qarabag showed great resilience against stronger opponents, defeating Bilbao, FC Copenhagen, S.L. Benfica and Frankfurt, while also holding Chelsea F.C. to a draw.
In terms of current form, there is little difference between the two sides. Qarabag have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Newcastle United F.C. have secured 2 wins in their previous 5 outings.
Home advantage remains a key strength for Qarabag, having won 7 of their last 10 matches at home. Meanwhile, Newcastle have regained confidence on the road with back-to-back away victories over tough opponents such as Tottenham Hotspur F.C. and Aston Villa F.C..
Nevertheless, facing a dangerous opponent like Qarabag, the English side are likely to adopt a cautious approach. Given the balanced outlook, a draw appears to be a plausible outcome.