In-depth Analysis
In the most recent round, Fiorentina and Atalanta experienced completely opposite emotions. While La Viola pulled off a major surprise by defeating Juventus 2-0, Atalanta suffered a narrow 0-1 loss to Bologna in a match that had a direct impact on the race for the top positions.
In the current 2025/26 Serie A standings, Fiorentina sit 15th with 41 points and have already secured survival. Therefore, the final match of the season for De Gea and his teammates is mainly about ending the campaign on a positive note in front of their home supporters.
Meanwhile, Atalanta are in 7th place with 58 points — enough to secure a spot in next season’s Conference League. Theoretically, Bologna could still catch them on points, but in reality, Atalanta are not under too much pressure. According to Serie A rules, head-to-head results are prioritized if teams finish level on points.
This season, Atalanta beat Bologna 2-0 in the first meeting and only lost 0-1 in the return fixture, meaning they still hold the advantage in the head-to-head record. As a result, even if Atalanta lose to Fiorentina and Bologna win in the final round, the Bergamo side’s position would likely remain unchanged. Because of that, Atalanta’s main objective now may simply be to deliver an entertaining performance for their fans before the season concludes.
However, Fiorentina have never been an easy opponent for Atalanta. In the last 10 meetings, the Florence-based club won 5 matches, while Atalanta managed only 4 wins and 1 draw. In particular, Atalanta have often struggled at the Artemio Franchi Stadium, winning just 2 of their last 10 visits there, alongside 2 draws and 6 defeats.
With home advantage and a relaxed mindset after securing safety, Fiorentina have every reason to aim for another positive result against Atalanta in the final round.